Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.834294 2.980279 3.133679 3.307577 3.500099 3.707727 3.949947
2025-04-20 2.596638 2.796507 3.016292 3.278323 3.585536 3.938669 4.381986
2025-04-27 2.425425 2.663672 2.935773 3.274691 3.693324 4.204915 4.897230
2025-05-04 2.312309 2.584776 2.907008 3.325525 3.870133 4.579998 5.625455
2025-05-11 2.193561 2.487681 2.845723 3.327731 3.984822 4.894818 6.354493
2025-05-18 2.077832 2.384261 2.766285 3.296456 4.049358 5.151947 7.076341
2025-05-25 1.946086 2.251068 2.637592 3.185640 3.987372 5.212090 7.499784
2025-06-01 1.852825 2.160740 2.557619 3.133100 4.002150 5.393383 8.208585
2025-06-08 1.778503 2.090104 2.498240 3.103051 4.045752 5.629829 9.132167
2025-06-15 1.723790 2.041743 2.465119 3.106936 4.141864 5.977732 10.495846
2025-06-22 1.651929 1.966365 2.389483 3.040425 4.113955 6.090562 11.357063
2025-06-29 1.575494 1.881242 2.295410 2.938593 4.014891 6.046162 11.767877
2025-07-06 1.498485 1.796339 2.203219 2.842705 3.933176 6.059613 12.533251
2025-07-13 1.460782 1.764045 2.184904 2.861647 4.058808 6.553199 15.591291
2025-07-20 1.428079 1.737115 2.172786 2.889801 4.207907 7.163152 20.593175
2025-07-27 1.406805 1.725137 2.181925 2.953993 4.439549 8.094402 32.021004
2025-08-03 1.375807 1.697597 2.165691 2.973625 4.586907 8.890294 52.808874
2025-08-10 1.339617 1.660786 2.132914 2.961274 4.665325 9.535092 98.298512
2025-08-17 1.290332 1.602817 2.064186 2.879244 4.577322 9.580450 144.288826
2025-08-24 1.254261 1.562974 2.022029 2.842196 4.587384 10.006796 563.663815
2025-08-31 1.224197 1.530846 1.990420 2.821888 4.633956 10.622967 NaN
2025-09-07 1.201722 1.509106 1.974193 2.828728 4.747899 11.639834 NaN
2025-09-14 1.168475 1.469983 1.928033 2.775229 4.703035 11.894258 NaN